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[quote]
If anyone here still believes WMD and not oil is the main motivator for the war on Iraq, they should read this new report, citing recently released government and corporate sources including documents from the National Security Archive.

For those who can't be bothered reading the full report, it goes something like this: During the Iran/Iraq war, Syria, in support of Iran, closed the oil pipeline that passed through its terriorty from Iraq. Hoping to open a new line west out of Iraq (thereby avoiding the Gulf where Iraqi oil tankers were being attacked by Iran), Donald Rumsfeld was despatched by the Regan government to met Hussein with a proposal to build a pipeline through Jordan. This was right in the middle of the war against Iran, where Iraq used thousands of chemical weapons. The Americans turned a blind eye. After years of negotiation and great expense, Hussein turned them down in favour of deals with Turkey and Saudi Arabia. The Americans were “steaming mad. Reagan's boys had expended a lot of political capital on this. They turned a blind eye to chemical attacks for naught”. Many of these very same players were returned to office in 2001.

I printed out the whole report (it's a PDF) and it makes for bloody interesting reading...

http://www.ips-dc.org/crudevision/index.htm
[quote]
I believe Donny 'the Don' Rumsfeld wen to meet Saddam about this in 1983
[quote]
Tony - Jakey mentioned that.

"...Donald Rumsfeld was despatched by the Regan government to met Hussein with a proposal to build a pipeline through Jordan."
[quote]
yeah I know - I was talking about the year - 1983.
[quote]
have a read people. seriously. even the sceptics here will agree it's a pretty damning indictment.
[quote]
skeptics.

fuggit.
[quote]
Jakeyboy70 said:
skeptics.


No, Jake, I think sceptics is the right word to use Laughing
[quote]
hey trapper: have you read this article?

there's also an interview here with Jim Valette, director of research at the Sustainable Energy and Economy Network, that outlines a number of hypocritical points.

it is all about the oil!

http://www.counterpunch.org/lindorff04092003.html

quote:
Q. We1re talking about stuff that happened almost 20 years ago. How is this relevant to what's happening in Iraq now?

A: This story, I think, is timely even though it's 20 years old because Bechtel is back now, as the likely winner of the contract to rebuild Iraq's infrastructure, and many of those Reagan administration officials are back, and they are poised to get their hands on Iraq's oil again.


quote:
Q: Can you see any signs that the current war is linked directly to oil? I mean the administration has given so many reasons for going to war I'm surprised they haven't gotten to oil. I remember in 1991, the first Bush said it was about jobs, which equates pretty quickly to oil. But they didn't say that this time around.

A: Yeah, they've redacted any reference to oil from their language. Maybe that's the best evidence that that's what it's really about, because it's logical. I mean Bush the first in his national security papers defined the free flow of oil as a national security priority, as did President Clinton in his final months in office. He released a national security paper that said that the free flow of oil is a national security priority that must be enforced with military might if necessary. The current Bush came out with the national security strategy that redacted this long-standing text dating back to the Carter administration, but at the same time you had this Cheney energy policy that continues this idea of the necessity of a "diverse and free supply of oil" without the military language. And actually you had Cheney kind of kick off the whole war fever last August in a speech to the Veterans of Foreign Wars. He cited the specter of Saddam Hussein with his weapons of mass destruction threatening the flow of oil from the region. Then immediately afterwards, any kind of reference like that vanished from the Bush administration's rhetoric, to the point that Secretary of Defense Rumsfeld called any kind of association of the current conflict with oil to be an "absurdity." So there is no document or strategy paper now that says "we must invade Iraq because our US oil companies have been shut out of this second largest reservoir of oil for the last 20 years," but who knows what we'll find in the National Archives 20 years from now? It's a circumstantial case, but that's as good as we can do now. And logic certainly has its place as well. I mean, the question is why are the weapons of mass destruction today a cause for war when these very same weapons were ignored by the same officials 20 years ago when they were being used. What has changed is that other national oil companies--French, Russian and Chinese--have gotten into Iraq, while U.S. companies were being frozen out. I'm sure there are other factors. Certainly the Kuwait invasion didn't help U.S relations with Saddam, and since Kuwait, Saddam signed very lucrative oil contracts with the French, Russians, Chinese and others.


quote:
A: Aside from the unseemly picture of two well connected companies getting an inside track for all that post-war business in Iraq, why do you find the Bechtel involvement in this situation so troubling?

Q: Schultz worked at Bechtel. So did (Reagan Defense Secretary) Caspar Weinberger. There were a lot of Bechtel people in the government in the '80s at the same time that the Iraqi's were gassing the Iranis. The same people are now formulating the plans for a coming U.S. occupation of Iraq, and in turn, the same people will be given the spoils of war--whether it's Parsons and Halliburton or Bechtel. It's all kind of circular back to the 1980s, you know -- completing unfinished business--getting American companies back in there after their being shut out since 1991 and the first Gulf War. Bechtel was also listed by Iraq in its report to the U.N. weapons inspectors as one of the companies that helped supply Saddam with equipment and knowledge for making chemical weapons. Bechtel in the 1980s was prime contractor on PC 1 and 2, two petrochemical plants constructed in Iraq which had dual-use capacity. So I guess the bottom line is that the Bush-Cheney-Rumsfeld squad are now holding Saddam Hussein accountable for chemical weapons of mass destruction--the same weapons which these same officials ignored in pursuit of the Aqaba pipeline project. And now we are going to reward the pipeline promoter with massive contracts for reconstruction resulting from this policy. There is just such hypocricy in all this.


quote:
Q: So having control of Iraqi oil is still a key issue?

A: It's the sole reason why the Persian Gulf region and Iraq have been a United States national security concern for so long. It's not geography.


quote:
Q: So what would you say is the lesson of all this?

A: The lesson is that when it comes to oil, a dictator is friendly to the U.S. when he's willing to do business and he's a mortal enemy when he's not. That has been the driving force behind national security policy, especially since the fall of the Soviet Union. Oil and national security policy were all submerged in the context of the Cold War. But once that Cold War collapsed, now it's a no-holds-barred battle for oil globally, and the U.S. has seen itself cut out of the world's second largest reserve of oil--and oil that is very inexpensive to extract. So with the U.S. shut out of Iraq, certainly it makes the trigger fingers of U.S. policy-makers itchy. And whether it's a blood feud or a war for oil, it's just a tragedy that the people of Iraq and our own sons and daughters and brothers and sisters are paying the price.


p.s sorry to quote so much, but the article is HUGE and these are some of the points.
[quote]
Like all good conspiracies it ignores the simplest of facts.

If the US wanted Iraq’s oil so bad they could have just bought it!
That would have been a hell of a lot cheaper than having an extremely expensive war first then buying the oil off them anyway.
[quote]
did u even read the article?

it clearly states that supply of oil is a matter of national security. now, while saddam was co-operating, all was dandy. it's when he decided, fuck off america, i'm not gonna give u my oil, that everything turned to shite.

please read the article and respond once you have digested it's contents.
[quote]
also, don't you find it kinda strange that the same corporations behind this war are the same ones that were around in the early 80's?

seems like you have your headphones on.... Music
[quote]
Trapper - I'm laughing at you - are you serious?


Didn't you post that same weak argument somehwhere else?
[quote]
Well the supply of oil is a matter of national security. Don't doubt that for a second, our whole economy runs on oil.

But this doesn't mean that anyone would go to war so they could buy oil which they could have just bought anyway.


lol, Thats right, because I can see thru this bullcrap it must be me with my headphones on. rofl, dude...
[quote]
quote:
If the US wanted Iraq’s oil so bad they could have just bought it!


negative dude. the US is not going to buy oil in euros. which they would eventually have to do if american didn't directly control the flow of iraqi oil.
[quote]
TonyCavallo, and I’m laughing at you. Smile

It is not a weak argument; it is an undeniably strong and pretty much unbeatable argument. I can see why it annoys you...
[quote]
I'll post this again. The US citizens pay for the war through their taxes, the US corporations make money from the war and then the oil after the war. Endpoint is a flow of money fom the citizens to the corporations. Is that so hard to understand. Confused Confused Confused
[quote]
Iraq has only been allowed to sell a small amount of its oil due to UN sanctions.
The profits from the oil were used for the effective 'food for oil' programme.

So to say the US should just 'buy it', is bullshit.
They couldn't - not as much as they need, anyway.

Only way round it is to get their hands on it and control it.
[quote]
Tony, I've just about had enough of you abusing me in every post. Just because I don't believe in the same conspiracy crap you seem to love doesn't make me wrong, if anything all it does is make you very gullible.
[quote]
Quit the personal attacks TC -I've edited out your last one.
[quote]
Thanks a lot - I'd call it satire myself.

Lighten up.
[quote]
trapper: u seems to miss the point that the US will be buying the oil, at least the US citizens. the main point of this document is to illustrate how deeply connected the US government. it's no conspiracy. it's true. remember exxon mobil? it's not speculation that they funded bush's campaign to get elected (read selected). believe what u like tho, i just try to provide another angle to view from....
[quote]
update: even the new york times has published comment on this:

http://www.commondreams.org/views03/0414-02.htm
[quote]
Like I've said before, if the war was all about oil, then why didn't the US invade Iraq after the 1991 Gulf War and arrange for big greedy capitalist US oil companies to syphon the Iraqi fields and repatriate profits to the US?
[quote]
Because the UN approved objective of Gulf War 1 was to boot Iraq out of Kuwait, not topple the Iraqi regime. If the US had invaded and occupied Iraq, the coalition (including many Arab nations) would have crumbled and the US would be in the doo doo.
[quote]
Well it ain't about WMD or freedom.... now was it?

What else could it be
[quote]
Maybe they knew it would annoy you, and that's all it took...
[quote]
So you're saying the US suddenly changed their mind and decided to seize the Iraqi oil to FURTHER antagonise popular sentiment against the war in the face of the largest anti-war protests since the Vietnam war; while back in 1991 they did not want to piss off the UN and coalition partners off after expelling Iraqi forces from Kuwait?

I think you need to reassess the consistency of your argument.
[quote]
Right on bob daktari

Anyone who says the war was about human rights or WMD only has to look at the US backing of buddy buddy Pakistan. It’s a NUCLEAR ARMED, ISLAMIC STATE RUN BY A BRUTAL MILITARY REGIME FFS! The only real difference between Hussein and Mussharaf is that the latter doesn’t have the world’s second largest oil reserve under his patio. Well also the Pakistani's probably haven't killed as many innocents, but you get the idea right?
[quote]
Trapper you make me laugh

quote:
If the US wanted Iraq’s oil so bad they could have just bought it!
That would have been a hell of a lot cheaper than having an extremely expensive war first then buying the oil off them anyway.


I hope you seriously don't believe that statement and if you do then perhaps you don't have a very good understanding of the situation.

I think Tony has already explained that there were UN santions in place to prevent the US buying all of Iraqs oil prior to the war. The simple fact is that by invading and defeating Iraq Un sanctions are now likely to be removed which will allow the Us to take some 100 plus billion worth of oil to pay for the rebuilding of Iraq.
[quote]
quote:
the US suddenly changed their mind


Nuvolari, you're talking as if 'the US' is some kind of continuous entity. Of course many of the same players are lurking around the corridors of power, but Bush senior, who served in WW2 and later as Ambassador to China knew the imporatance of consensus and diplomacy. That’s why old Bush and the gang were more cautious than the present ideologically-driven neo-con chicken hawk thugs now clucking around the White House.
[quote]
When the fuck was Pakistan forced to comply with more than 16 UN resolutions acknowledging the presence of WMD, and imposing the obligation to disarm, after invading a foreign state? When did Pakistan sign the nuke NPT?

I'm sure we have covered this before but another word that comes to mind in the case of Pakistam is DETERRENT.
[quote]
nuvolari - or whoever you really are (you don't talk like someone with only 46 posts) I think you just made my point for me. Pakistan has not been forced to comply with any UN resolutions (that I know of) or been bombed to shit for the last 12 years or given a majorly hard time about their nukes precisely because they are an American ally. It serves the US current need to be friends with them. Just like Saddam, Noriega and the countless other bloodthirsty dictators the US has backed, they are only ‘good guys’ as long as they serve American interests.
[quote]
[quote="Jakeyboy70]
but Bush senior, who served in WW2 and later as Ambassador to China knew the imporatance of consensus and diplomacy. That’s why old Bush and the gang were more cautious than the present ideologically-driven neo-con chicken hawk thugs now clucking around the White House.[/quote]

Before we play the multiple Bush cards....

quote:
Prominent banker and businessman Prescott Bush, George W. Bush’s grandfather. Grandpa Bush actively engaged in business with the Nazis, both before and after the United States had declared war on Germany

http://www.zmag.org/content/showarticle.cfm?SectionID=10&ItemID=3532

I'm too frightened to check on Great Grandpa
[quote]
for sure the whole bush clan are long time crooks, but at least george senior made an attempt at international diplomacy.
[quote]
The price of oil isnt likely to change much with saddam gone, and theres nothing special about iraqs oil (in fact its particuarily difficult to process) so instead of going to war america could just have bought oil (from whereever)

Or failing that just had the sanctions removed. (surely that would have been easy considering the rest of the world wasnt too worried about saddam.
[quote]
Bob like your idea of how the US could have had the sanctions removed. This would have never happened as they believed he was a threat, hence the no fly zones etc and the final invasion. Oil I suppose was a nice bonus although their main motivation appears to have been regime change.
[quote]
fark, that story bob daktari posted is scary. i just skimmed it for now (eyes too screen-tired to read it tonight) but this referenced quote from Hermann Goering stood out for me:

quote:
“Naturally the common people don't want war: Neither in Russia, nor in England, nor for that matter in Germany. That is understood. But, after all, it is the leaders of the country who determine the policy and it is always a simple matter to drag the people along, whether it is a democracy, or a fascist dictatorship, or a parliament, or a communist dictatorship. ... Voice or no voice, the people can always be brought to the bidding of the leaders. That is easy. All you have to do is tell them they are being attacked, and denounce the peacemakers for lack of patriotism and exposing the country to danger. It works the same in any country.”


*shudder*
[quote]
Regime change... sorry don't believe that for a second - a nice bonus, but if regime change was the main motivation then surely all them months spent planning the Invasion the US and partners would have put a lot more thought (any thoughts?) into what they wanted to replace, Saddam or the system of government (dictatorship) and how to actually achieve as much

Bombing the country to hell and beyond and then alienating the people doesn't seem like the best strategy for regime change, especially as the Iraqi people would most likely vote in a democratic election for a fundamentalist Muslim regime like Iran and that won't do for Donald and chums

Unless of course regime change just meant Saddam change, then job done, pats on backs and why not go home?
[quote]
I forget if cynicism is already beyond reason or not but your level of cynicism goes against all logic. To leave right now would be the worst thing for the iraqis and the rest of the world, other than some populist leader who promises the world to get elected. Its going to take months to even begin some kind of administration in place. And years for it to start working in some kind of reliable and persistent manner.

Using something you know they shouldnt/cant do as proof of ulterior motives is pretty lame. Kind of like the claims that hundreds of thousands of innocents were going to die was used to give reason to the antiwar demonstrations.
[quote]
Jakeyboy70 said:
I think you just made my point for me. Pakistan has not been forced to comply with any UN resolutions (that I know of) or been bombed to shit for the last 12 years...


I think you have missed my point completely. Pakistan has not been forced to comply with UN resolutions because NONE HAVE BEEN PASSED. The UNSC does not deem their possession of nukes to be threat to international peace and security. If the UNSC did, then why hasn't France, Germany or Russia (not just the Britain and the US) asked for a formal UNSC resolution obligating the disarmament of their nukes?

Moreover, you may recall that Pakistan did not invade a sovereign state and have its troops ejected from that state by a foreign liberation force. The disarmament obligations imposed on Iraq were part of the ceasefire terms following the ejection of their forces from Kuwait. It's pointless arguing that Iraq does not possess illicit weapons because guilt has already been established. The 16 earlier UN resolutions condemned Iraq's possession of those weapons and imposed the unconditional obligation to disarm. No such resolutions have been passed in respect of Pakistan.

Jakeyboy70 said:
Nuvolari, you're talking as if 'the US' is some kind of continuous entity. Of course many of the same players are lurking around the corridors of power, but Bush senior, who served in WW2 and later as Ambassador to China knew the imporatance of consensus and diplomacy. That's why old Bush and the gang were more cautious than the present ideologically-driven neo-con chicken hawk thugs now clucking around the White House.


bob daktari said:
Well it ain't about WMD or freedom.... now was it?


Do you guys even know what neo-conservative means? I am not saying that the US isn't motivated by self interest. What I am saying is that that self interest is not driven by a select group of trigger-itchy lunatics. You seem to think that the Bush administration is run by an idiot who has his mind set of global domination and the pursuit of US commercial interests above all other costs. You also seem to think the leader of the world's most powerful nation is totally inept and incompetent, to the extent that he blindly follows the wishes of a small group of money-hungry "kill all Arab" hawks.

Your line of argument is fundamentally flawed and as Trapper and Bob have stated, utterly naive. I sourced the following link from The Economist that rips your argument to pieces. The link is to a restricted site, but if you have access, click here.

The Economist notes:

quote:
Neo-cons start with the notion that America faces the challenge of managing a ?unipolar world? (a phrase coined by a neo-conservative commentator, Charles Krauthammer, in 1991). They see the world in terms of good and evil. They think America should be willing to use military power to defeat the forces of chaos. Admittedly, they go on to advocate democratic transformation in the Middle East, a view that is not shared throughout the administration.


In other words, by arguing that the Bush administration is dominated by neo-cons, you are automatically saying that the primary rationale of the war is to spread democracy and liberate the Iraqi people, which shits in the face of your argument about oil.

However, the Bush administration is not dominated by a select group of neo-cons, as The Economist goes on to note:

quote:
"So has a [neo-conservative] cabal taken over the foreign policy of the most powerful country in the world? Is a tiny group of ideologues using undue power to intervene in the internal affairs of other countries, create an empire, trash international law?and damn the consequences?

Not really. To argue that an intellectual clique has usurped American foreign policy is to give them both too much credit, and too little. American foreign policy has not been captured by a tiny, ideological clique that has imposed its narrow views on others. Rather, the neo-cons are part of a broader movement endorsed by the president, and espoused, to different degrees, by almost all the principals involved, from Vice-President Dick Cheney down (Colin Powell, the secretary of state, is a notable exception). Strands of neo-conservatism can even be found among some Democrats, which is why it makes sense to think that a new foreign-policy establishment may be emerging.

For the same reason, the criticism neglects the role of others. Near-consensus is found around the notion that America should use its power vigorously to reshape the world. Yet because parts of the neo-con agenda have been adopted by a president who is a mostly pragmatic decision-maker, and because the neo-cons themselves are politically astute, the neo-cons do not have things all their own way. They are powerful in so far as the president listens to them, rather than in their own right. The result is that American foreign policy is becoming a mixture of neo-conservative ideas, the president's instincts?and the realities of power...

...Some Europeans seem to think the neo-cons' influence is a direct result of Mr Bush's inability to grasp basic foreign-policy ideas. The recent evolution of American policy does not bear out this patronising view. The new policy was adopted in response to a cataclysmic event. It enjoys support at almost every level of government, including Congress (the main exceptions are the State Department and serving officers in the armed forces). Above all, the new policy is defined by the president himself. The neo-con clique depends on Mr Bush, not the other way around.


Perhaps you need to do some more research on big words.[/quote]
[quote]
Dont worry nuvolari hey will go back to other reasons the US is wrong and when theyre disproved they will move on again its just a bit of a circle. Have a look through some of the threads dragged up recently.
[quote]
Jakeyboy70 said:
nuvolari - or whoever you really are (you don't talk like someone with only 46 posts) ...


Its called self-confidence dude. Smile
[quote]
quote:
I think you have missed my point completely.


Negative, nuvolari I did not. While Pakistan may not have been forced to comply with an actual UN resolution regarding WMD (there has been at least one UN resolution over the Kashmir dispute), its standoff with nuclear armed India was most certainly deemed to be a threat to international peace and security. Remember the tension a few years ago, when the world thought there would be a nuclear exchange? It was front page news for weeks. Pressure was put on both countries to step back from the brink/disarm. Then, all of a sudden September 11 comes along, and because Pakistan was ideally placed both geographically and politically to help the Americans, the fact that this islamic fundamentalist, terrorist-suporting military dictatorship had nuclear arms was conveniently swept from the public view. As long as they could help America fight the Taliban and Al Queda, the American’s couldn’t have given a damn about their WMD or terrorist affiliations (US hypocracy strikes again).

quote:
It's pointless arguing that Iraq does not possess illicit weapons because guilt has already been established.


Guilt has been established by whom? Colin Powell and those faked uranium documents? Blair and his papers plagarised from university students? While there is no doubt Iraq had WMD (and used them with continued US backing) their current WMD status is unknown. The former US marine and UN weapons inspector Scott Ritter has written a book and film (which is on at the upcoming World Film Festival) saying that Iraq no longer has any WMD. Only time will tell on this one.

quote:
Do you guys even know what neo-conservative means?


Do you want a definition? This one from a recent article widely published on the net (available for free here http://www.antiwar.com/orig/lind1.html) sounds fairly well-informed.

quote:
Most neoconservative defense intellectuals have their roots on the left, not the right. They are products of the influential Jewish-American sector of the Trotskyist movement of the 1930s and 1940s, which morphed into anti-communist liberalism between the 1950s and 1970s and finally into a kind of militaristic and imperial right with no precedents in American culture or political history. Their admiration for the Israeli Likud party's tactics, including preventive warfare such as Israel's 1981 raid on Iraq's Osirak nuclear reactor, is mixed with odd bursts of ideological enthusiasm for "democracy." They call their revolutionary ideology "Wilsonianism" (after President Woodrow Wilson), but it is really Trotsky's theory of the permanent revolution mingled with the far-right Likud strain of Zionism.


And in case you plant to dismiss the writer as a some kind of left-wing nutjob, read this:

http://www.businessweek.com/1996/36/b349128.htm

Of course that is a progressive view of neoconservatism. www.neoconservatism.com defines it as a

quote:
political perspective … committed to cultural traditionalism, democratic capitalism, and a foreign policy promoting freedom and American interests around the world.


William Kristol is generally regarded as "the godfather of neoconservatism".

quote:
I sourced the following link from The Economist that rips your argument to pieces.


You write as if The Economist is the last word on these matters. It’s not, it’s just the opinion of one writer. The article I referred to is no less valid than the arguments in the Economist, which, interestingly, seem to have been written as a rebuttal to Lind’s article, originally printed in The New Statesman.

It’s also worth noting that ‘my argument’ that the US invasion of Iraq is a quest for oil/resources/power and not WMD or the welfare of the Iraqi people is shared by the vast majority of the planet. You can fool some people some of the time, but you can’t fool all of them all of the time.

One last thing, ‘shitting in the face of my argument’, is a bit uncalled for. As trapper would say, let's keep it civil eh?
[quote]
Your comparison with Pakistan continues to remain invalid. You make it sound like the US didn't WANT to do anything about Pakistan's nukes. The truth is that the US didn't NEED to do anything because Pakistan did not pose a nuclear threat to US interests.

(To clarify, I have never denied that the US is not acting out of self-interest. I am, however, arguing that their self interest is NOT driven primarily and substantially by the pursuit of commercial-gains).

By pledging their allegiance to the war on terrorism, Pakistan sent a signal that it was an ally of America. The US knew that there wasn't a hope in hell that Pakistan would launch a nuclear strike outright (for fear of retaliation), or supply terrorists with a nuclear weapon.

If the US truly believed that Pakistan was a threat to US interests, don't you think the self-interested neo-cons would have done something about Musharraf?

The fact is that Pakistan holds nukes as a deterrent against a nuclear strike (from India). This is the same reason why Britain, France, Russia and the US hold nukes -- as a deterrent against attack. Pakistan is allowed to keep its nukes because "dangerous weapons are more dangerous in the hands of dangerous people" (Economist). Unlike Saddam, Musharraf has never encouraged his citizens to launch jihad against the US, nor does (did) he express unrelenting hatred of the US.

I think you need to read through some UN resoutions. Like I said earlier, guilt is documented in more than 16 resolutions that have openly declared Iraq's verified possession of WMD (even as late as last year, when the UNSC passed resolution 1441). There's no point arguing that Iraq does not hold WMD because the regime has had more than 12 years to provide verifiable evidence of complete and unconditional disarmament in compliance with UN resolutions, which it has not done. Iraq was shown to be guilty 12 years ago, and it was their responsibilty to prove their innocence through the weapons inspections process -- not to lie, deceive and prevent the inspectors from verifying disarmament and hiding weapons.

The simple fact is that Iraq has not provided a complete account of the original weapons it was shown to possess following the 1991 ceasefire (remember the comments about "continued material breach" in the UN resolutions), nor has it provided verifiable evidence of any stockpiles it may have destroyed (as it claims to have done so). You can download the resolutions yourself and find them here.

If Iraq truly didn't possess any illicit weapons, why was it willing to put up with more than 12 years of economic sanctions that cost it billions of dollars in lost oil revenues? All it had to do to remove the sanctions was provide verifiable evidence of disarmament, which it has not done. This was why the US was forced to launch an attack.

Adding three different references to (substantially) the same neo-cons definition doesn't add any more validity to yor argument. (Are you a barrister by any chance? That's a trick I learnt during Level I commercial law). You still think that the US is run by a single raving lunatic who is influenced by a small group of money-hungry hawks who want to dominate the world, and that, to me, remains naive.
[quote]
Agreed nuvolari – the US has acted in breathtakingly hypocritical self-interest. That they are happily doing business with a country that probably meets every one of their own criteria for a ‘bad guy’ (islamic fundamentalist, terrorist-suporting military dictatorship) because to do so meets their current strategic needs is downright disgusting.

As for the your Pakistan comments, why would there be no “hope in hell that Pakistan would launch a nuclear strike outright (for fear of retaliation), or supply terrorists with a nuclear weapon” and it be any different for Hussein? He may have been a brutal nutjob, but he hasn’t lost his finely-tuned sense of self preservation. The notion he would have pre-emptively struck Israel or other US interests in the gulf with a nuclear weapon is a nonsense. Of course we can’t really argue this, as it’s all academic now, so I’ll move on.

quote:
I am … arguing that their self interest is NOT driven primarily and substantially by the pursuit of commercial-gains.


I agree – although certainly a factor, it is not about the pursuit of commercial-gains, but interests of national security. It has been openly stated by every American administration (except, curiously, by the current one) that a cheap, secure source of oil is critical to US national security. As it is for every other nation with cars, trucks and planes. In a way, I think it even excuses their behaviour because they kind of have no choice – as mentioned on the BBC doco last night, worldwide oil reserves are dwindling, demand is not. Iraq has one of the last few truly massive (and undeveloped) reserves in the world. Why the hell wouldn’t they go in to get their hands on it?

quote:
By pledging their allegiance to the war on terrorism


Laugh! Pakistan did no such thing. The Pakistan regime came under intense US pressure to help in the war against the Afghanistan – they didn’t volunteer, they had no choice. You only have to look at the tightrope Musharraf has been walking with the Islamists in his country to know this is true. If Pakistan was a true democracy, or at least represented the views of its Islamic population, they would have told the US to get stuffed.

quote:
I think you need to read through some UN resoutions.


Re this, I will wait until I have seen Scott Ritter’s film before making any further comments about whether or not they had any weapons after the previous inspection regime. Sure his film may be the final word on the matter, but I am inclined to trust a former US marine officer and former head of UN weapons inspections over a UNSC that had been pretty thoroughly carrot and sticked by the US.

quote:
Adding three different references to (substantially) the same neo-cons definition doesn't add any more validity to yor argument.


I was simply responding to your question as to whether I knew what a neocon was. I used a couple of examples to show some impartiality. And no, I’m not a lawyer.

quote:
You still think that the US is run by a single raving lunatic who is influenced by a small group of money-hungry hawks who want to dominate the world, and that, to me, remains naive.


That is a grossly distorted characterisation of any opinions I have expressed here. Bush is clearly not a raving lunatic, and I have never said otherwise. Inept, inexperienced, cosseted, bumbling, draft-dodging, coke snorting, former alcoholic, none-too bright silver-spoon sucking Christian fundamentalist daddy’s boy maybe, but he’s not a loon. I do feel ‘money hungry hawks’ is a fair description of Bush’s millionaire’s club of advisors. As to whether they want to ‘dominate the world’, well, many of them have said as much in public so yeah, I think they do.

http://www.newamericancentury.org/iraqclintonletter.htm
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That is a grossly distorted characterisation of any opinions I have expressed here.
Then you went on to agree with him... Smile

Im not sure watching more biased media is going to help you form a realistic opinion on this topic, maybe you should expose yourself to some non biased or even the othersides story.
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Jakeyboy70 said:
As for the your Pakistan comments, why would there be no “hope in hell that Pakistan would launch a nuclear strike outright (for fear of retaliation)....


I'm have a feeling (I seem to recall seeing it somewhere, I think in The Dom) that the range of Pakistan's nukes would prohibit them being used for anything other than retaliation and spite. They would decimate ALL of Pakistan and only a very small (comparatively) part of India, whereas India's nukes have the same sort of range there would be a shit load more of India left thanthere would Pakistan.

It'd be kinda like a very stupid suicide bomber driving a car laden with explosives into his own house. Smile
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Its just a deterent, hopefully it will make each side think a little more before doing anything. Pakistan has already spoken to the US about special forces taking control of its nukes in the event of the fundamentalist takeover, thats why the US isnt too worried about the nukes atm.
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Quote:
That is a grossly distorted characterisation of any opinions I have expressed here.
Then you went on to agree with him...


erm bob, stop smoking ganja! i did not agree with nuvolari! i called bush an 'Inept, inexperienced, cosseted, bumbling, draft-dodging, coke snorting, former alcoholic, none-too bright silver-spoon sucking Christian fundamentalist daddy’s boy', not a 'raving lunatic'. the two are not the same!
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Im sorry that you missed the Smile at the end, in general use it means dont take this too seriously...

It would be intersting to see whether the pro war or anti war side smoke more weed. My bet is on the anti war side being the stoners and the pro war being the crack heads.

Ive been known to be wrong on the odd occasion before tho...
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come on nuvlari, i was enjoying our sesh!
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has nuvolari gone on holiday, or was he, as i initially suspected, a troll?
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I'll email him and ask.
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cool, thanks. i was enjoying our debate.
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I'm back Jakeyboy...and from the sounds of things it looks like I have been missed. For your information I have been (and still am) on vacation. However, that does not mean that I have forgotten about our little debate, or agree with your line of argument and the responses you have provided.

For a link to an article that provides a compelling counter-argument for "why invading Iraq would not produce an oil bonanza for America" click here. BTW, that link was posted in several threads earlier this year.

I never said Pakistan wasn't placed under US pressure. The point I was trying to get across was that Pakistan sided with the US and in so doing sent a signal that: (i) their possession of nukes did not pose a threat to US interests, and (ii) they were committed to the US-led war against terrorism (remember the senior Al Qaeda operatives who have been arrested by Pakistani security forces?).

Your comment about "US bullying of Pakistan" reinforces my argument for why the comparison of Pakistan to Iraq remains invalid. The diplomatic pressure the US placed on Pakistan worked. The diplomatic and economic pressure the US to placed on Iraq (through the UN) failed. This was why the US was forced to resort to military pressure in the case of Iraq. In any event, whether or not the US placed pressure on Pakistan is irrelevant -- the fact remains that they sided with the US and were not deemed a threat. Dude, did you even read my earlier post?

nuvolari said:
If the US truly believed that Pakistan was a threat to US interests, don't you think the self-interested neo-cons would have done something about Musharraf?

The fact is that Pakistan holds nukes as a deterrent against a nuclear strike (from India). This is the same reason why Britain, France, Russia and the US hold nukes -- as a deterrent against attack. Pakistan is allowed to keep its nukes because "dangerous weapons are more dangerous in the hands of dangerous people" (Economist). Unlike Saddam, Musharraf has never encouraged his citizens to launch jihad against the US, nor does (did) he express unrelenting hatred of the US.


In addition, you make it sound as though Ritter believes that Iraq no longer holds any WMD. That is incorrect. Ritter believes that there is insufficient evidence to support the claim that Iraq has reconstitued its WMD. He has never given Iraq a "clean bill of health" (quote from September 2002 interview with Time).

Moreover, you have stated yourself that Ritter's views are not the final word -- Ritter is one of many individuals who have expressed an opinion. His comments may SEEM more believable because he was the former head of UNSCOM, just as the comments of the decorated and retired US Generals SEEMED more believable just before the recent war. Those same Generals predicted a long-drawn out war, overstretched US supply-lines, political upheaval in Turkey/Iran/Syria, Iraq's release of chemical and biological weapons against coalation forces, and massive civilian casualties in response to guerilla warfare. Did any of those predictions turn out to be correct?

A UNSC that has been carrot and sticked by the US? If the UNSC didn't agree with the US, then why didn't they veto resolution 1441 and all the resolutions before it documenting Iraq's possession of WMD, and its failure to live up to disarmament obligations?

The fact remains that the UNSC passed more than 16 resolutions documenting Iraq's possession of WMD. Those same resolutions imposed the unconditional obligation on Iraq to disarm and provide evidence of its disarmament efforts. Iraq has not complied and this has been documented in countless UN resolutions. All of this is summarised in the links to the UN resolutions in my earlier post.

Moreover, you still haven't answered my earlier question. If Iraq did not possess any WMD, why was it willing to put up with 12 years of economic sanctions that cost it billions of dollars in lost oil revenues, when all it had to do was provide evidence of disarmament?

The link to newamericancentury.org is sounds more like an argument put forward for dealing with Iraq, NOT for "dominating the world".
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Jakeyboy, there is one important point I neglected to add -- to clarify, I am NOT saying that Pakistan has done all that it can to combat terrorism. What I am saying is that Pakistan has sided with the US, and in so doing, sent a signal that it was committed to fighting terrorism directed at US interests.

Do I think the US should place more pressure on Pakistan to get rid of terrorism directed at non-US interests (eg. Indian interests in Kashmir) now that the focus has shifted from Iraq?

Absolutely, but this does not detract from the fact that diplomatic pressure to relieve a threat against US interests worked in the case of Pakistan, but failed in the case of Iraq.
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nuvolari - thanks for this. will reply in next few days when i get a decent block of time. cheers.